FORTE PLAYBOOKThe 13 Symptoms of a Broken Pipeline
Thirteen things founders say on a first call, what each one actually means, and which part of the system is really broken.
Read it here. Keep the PDF.
Founders who come to Alper arrive with a diagnosis already made. Outbound is broken. The messaging needs work. We need a better SDR. Nearly every time, they are describing a symptom, not the cause.
The 13 Symptoms of a Broken Pipeline is a Forte Growth diagnostic for B2B founders, and for established B2B teams, whose pipeline is not producing: what you are seeing on the surface, what is actually broken underneath, and where to look first. It lists thirteen symptoms, the three common causes under each one and the pillars they map to, drawn from around fifty GTM diagnostic conversations.
Why the symptom and the cause sit in different places
The symptom is loud. The cause is quiet. The two rarely live in the same part of the engine.
A meetings problem is often a trust problem. An outbound problem is often an ICP problem. A conversion problem is often an awareness problem, three stages upstream of where the pain is showing.
Treating symptoms without identifying the cause is how fixes fail to stick.
This is the scaffolding: thirteen symptoms, the causes under each one, and the part of the engine to go and look at. It will not fix your pipeline on its own. It will stop you fixing the wrong thing.
Where to start: two routes
If the founder still sells. Revenue still runs through the founder and their network. Read symptom 9 (the founder is still selling past £500K to £1M), symptom 8 (a marketing or SDR hire is not producing) and symptom 2 (replies, but no meetings) first. Between them they point to the sales process, the proof behind it, founder brand and the system a hire would walk into.
If you already have a team. An established B2B company with a sales team, marketers or an agency in place, and a pipeline that has stopped growing. Read symptom 7 (things that worked do not work anymore), symptom 11 (happy customers, but no referrals) and symptom 12 (the pipeline looks healthy, but the forecast misses) first. Between them they point to positioning and the ICP, credibility and the trust network, and the sales process.
Either way, the four steps below are the same, and every one of the thirteen symptoms still applies.
How to use it: four steps, about twenty minutes
- Match what you are seeing. Look at what is actually happening in your engine right now and match it to one to three symptoms. An engine usually shows more than one at a time.
- Pick the cause that fits. Each symptom has three common causes. Pick the one your evidence supports. Do not guess.
- Go upstream. Outbound problems are usually foundation problems. Conversion problems are usually marketing problems. The bottleneck is rarely where the leak is showing up.
- Ground the fix in a pillar. Every cause maps to one or more of the ten pillars further down. That is where the work goes.
Symptoms 1 to 5: replies, meetings and deals
1. Low reply rate, under 4%
What it usually means: the wrong message, the wrong audience or the wrong channel.
Where to look: positioning and the ICP (pillars 1 and 2) before the channel. An outbound problem is usually a foundation problem.
2. Replies, but no meetings
What it usually means: no trust when the prospect looks you up, an awareness mismatch, or weak follow-up.
Where to look: founder brand, proof and the sales process (pillars 4, 5 and 8). If your founder brand pillar is visibly low, the fix is trust-layer work, not another outbound iteration.
3. Bad-fit leads despite scoring
What it usually means: scoring at company level with no filter on the individual, an anti-ICP that was never locked, or a channel attracting the wrong audience.
Where to look: ICP and persona precision (pillar 2), plus outbound and demand generation (pillar 3).
4. Meetings stall and deals do not progress
What it usually means: an informal sales process, the wrong level of buyer awareness, or no ROI or proof case.
Where to look: the sales process (pillar 8) and the proof behind it (pillar 5).
5. Long sales cycles
What it usually means: targeting too high, a buyer with no budget set aside, or no urgency.
Where to look: ICP and persona precision (pillar 2), then the sales process (pillar 8).
Symptoms 6 to 9: stalled interest, fading results, hiring and founder-led selling
6. "Interesting, but not now", then they ghost
What it usually means: no reactive engine, status quo bias, or the wrong moment.
Where to look: the content and marketing engine (pillar 6) and the sales process (pillar 8). If it comes with bad-fit leads, see the three GTMs pattern below.
7. Things that worked do not work anymore
What it usually means: a foundation reset is needed, the channel is saturated, or the market has shifted.
Where to look: positioning and the ICP (pillars 1 and 2) before switching channel.
8. A marketing or SDR hire is not producing
What it usually means: no strategy to plug into, a hire made before the playbook was built, or the wrong channel mix.
This is the one that costs the most. The hire is usually the symptom, not the cause. You hired because you had no system, then asked that person to produce results from the system they were hired to build. Two jobs, one salary, one quarter.
Where to look: the system the hire walked into, meaning strategy and GTM essentials (pillar 1) and the learning loop (pillar 9), before team and ownership (pillar 10).
9. The founder is still selling past £500K to £1M
What it usually means: no documented playbook, no proof that lets anyone other than the founder close, or a first hire who did not fit.
Where to look: the sales process (pillar 8) and team, capacity and ownership (pillar 10). The fix is the playbook and the credibility layer, before the next hire.
Symptoms 10 to 13: outreach, referrals, forecast and inbound
10. Cold outreach is not connecting
What it usually means: a fading channel, an approach that is too pitchy, or poor list quality.
Where to look: outbound and demand generation (pillar 3).
11. Happy customers, but no referrals
What it usually means: no advocacy programme, customers who lack the language to refer you, or no community.
Where to look: credibility assets (pillar 5) and the trust network (pillar 7).
12. The pipeline looks healthy, but the forecast misses
What it usually means: "active" confused with "progressing", qualification that is not real, or no defined stage milestones.
Where to look: the sales process (pillar 8) and the learning loop (pillar 9).
13. Inbound is dry and SEO is not producing
What it usually means: no content engine, the wrong keyword strategy, or no presence in AI answers (AIO).
Where to look: the content and marketing engine (pillar 6).
If several of these sound familiar, pick the one that hurts most. Score the pillars listed under it honestly. The pillar with the lowest score is the most likely cause.
The ten pillars underneath
Every cause above lives in one of ten pillars. This is what a real diagnostic scores. Next to each pillar is what a low score looks like from the outside.
- Strategy and GTM essentials. Vague positioning. Nobody can say clearly why you.
- ICP and persona precision. Broad demographic targeting, no anti-ICP.
- Outbound and demand generation. Spray and pray, no behavioural triggers.
- Founder brand and visibility. Dark on LinkedIn, no defined voice.
- Credibility assets and proof. Anonymous case studies, no video testimonials.
- Content and marketing engine. One channel doing everything.
- Trust network and distribution. Not present in buyer communities.
- Sales process and conversion. The founder closes from gut, with no defined stages.
- Learning loop and compounding. Calls not reviewed, no weekly signal review.
- Team, capacity and ownership. Just founders, no GTM hires.
Score each pillar honestly. The point is not to feel good. The point is to know where to look.
Five stages, running in parallel
The pillars sit inside five stages. They run at the same time, not one after another. A symptom that surfaces in one stage is usually caused by something missing in another.
- Messaging, ICP and GTM clarity: pillars 1 and 2.
- Lead generation and learning: pillars 3 and 9.
- Trust building: pillars 4, 5, 6 and 7.
- Sales process: pillar 8.
- Scale: pillars 6 and 10.
Stage 5 is only earned once stages 1 to 4 average above 6. Scaling before that amplifies whatever is broken upstream.
Six patterns that repeat
Symptoms rarely arrive alone. These combinations come up again and again, and each one has its own fix.
- The vision founder. Symptoms 1, 3 and likely 7. No ICP and no outbound, but the founder brand exists. The message is a vision, not a sale. The fix: run a stage 3 or 4 awareness message in parallel with the stage 1 vision.
- Sophisticated stack, no trust. Symptom 2 dominant. Outbound scores high and the trust layer scores 2 or 3. The fix: a foundation reset for trust, not more outbound iteration.
- Three GTMs in parallel. Symptoms 3 and 6 together. The founder is chasing several half-defined personas at once. The fix: pick one for 90 days and let the others compound for free.
- About to hire an SDR into chaos. Symptom 8, pending. There is no system for the hire to plug into yet. The fix: build the system first, then hire. In that order, it is a much easier job to be good at.
- Founder-led past £500K. Symptom 9. No documented playbook, and no proof that would let anyone but the founder close. The fix: the playbook and the credibility layer, before the next hire.
- New market failing after home success. Trust does not transfer. The foundation for the new market was never rebuilt, because at home it was invisible and already doing the work. The fix: a foundation reset for the new market, and cross-sell your existing logos to their entities in that market.
Questions founders ask
How long does it take to work through the 13 symptoms?
About twenty minutes. Match one to three symptoms, pick the cause your evidence supports, go upstream, then find the pillar where the work goes.
What if we recognise more than one symptom?
That is normal. Symptoms rarely arrive alone, so check the six patterns first. If none fits, pick the symptom that hurts most and score the pillars it maps to. The lowest score is the most likely cause.
Can we work out the cause on our own?
Partly. This page and the PDF get you to the symptom and the likely pillar. Which pillar is actually the cause, and what to fix first, is a conversation rather than a document. The GTM diagnostic shows where the motion breaks.
Does this apply if we already have a marketing or sales team?
Yes. Established B2B teams see the same symptoms, most often 7, 11 and 12. The playbook looks at the system underneath the team, so use it with the people you already have. Where an agency or a small team is in place, Forte Growth directs them as one plan rather than replacing them.